Why Trump will lose — and lose big

P.M. Carpenter's picture

For roughly two weeks now, the stuff of the above headline has become unfashionable to toss around. In September, Hillary’s post-convention bounce has flattened out and The Donald, in national polling, has often crept within the margin of error. More fashionable now are headlines attached to columns such as Ross Douthat’s today — “How Trump Might Win” — which is a kind of horror-show, click-baited romp through the possible. Well, yes, anything is possible. A Trump victory, however, remains highly improbable — as does even a competitive Trumpian showing. To wit…

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